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Burmese dispute is testing China's policy of non-government
MEIJING - The fight in northern Burma between the army and the Kachin Independence Army is becoming more and more intensive and lethal. This continuing violent situation is not only a great threat to Burma's President Thein Sein's government, but also a source of increasing anxiety for Beijing as the conflicts unfold on the front door of the south Yunnan provinces.
The rebel forces in Burma say that the Myanmar authorities have carried out recent assaults with mortars on the city of Laiza, near the China frontier. At the end of last weeks, Mr President, Mr President-in-Office of the Council, Mr President of the Commission, Mr President of the Commission, Mr President of the Commission, Mr President of the Commission, Mr President of the Commission, ladies and gentlemen, Mr President of the Commission, Mr President of the Commission, Mr President of the Commission, ladies and gentlemen, on both sides of the frontier, some in the city of Nabang in China and others in Laiza, met at a check point to demonstrate against the continuing conflict.
Images put on line showed demonstrators on the Myanmar side grabbing posters and Kachin in China, some with folding sleeves, in quiet protests. Kachin insurgents and the Myanmar authorities had been able to keep up a truce until about 18 month ago, when the fights started again. Over the past few days, Burma's forces have increased their strength in the northern part of the nation with the help of the Luftwaffe and ordnance, turning Laiza into a conflict area.
China is worried about the war because it is taking place so near its borders, says Ian Storey, a safety expert at the Institute of Southeast Asian Studies. "For a number of different motives, China does not want to see either tension or unstability along its borders," he said. That is what we have seen in other clashes in Burma.
Also because on the other side of the Myanmar boarder there are many Chineses who do this. "For a long time, China has been proud of what it has called its non-interference in the diplomatic sphere. A number of China experts say that although the policies are generally good, they could harm China in the event of what is going on in Burma.
A Southeast Asia political psychoanalyst at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Du Jifeng, says if China does not play a more proactive part, the dispute could intensify. You say that China could not only create a meeting place for both sides, but could also try to find a mutually agreeable and respectful trade-off.
China could also use less caution if the Burma authorities violate its air space and overfields. The two sides have agreed to hold discussions in the near-by city of Ruili to try to negotiate a CPA. However, as the dispute intensifies, the probability of this to happen is still not known.
"In the past, I appreciate that the participation of a number of China officers as intermediaries. In the end, however, it is really up to the Myanmar administration and the Kachin Independence Organization to find a solution. We can try to make this arrangement easier for China, but none of the political groups can force it on us," Storey said.
For a long time China has been an important partner of Burma. However, in recent years, the Myanmar authorities have started to broaden their global portfolios and open relations with Japan, the United States and the European Union. You say while Burma is making changes to its external policies and approaches, China should do the same.
You say that although China has in the past attached great importance to working with Burma's federal administration, in the near term it should work more with municipal authorities, other industries and even these anti-government groups. Researchers say that forging stronger relations with minorities, especially at the community levels, could not only solve the crisis, but also make sure that the crisis does not cross the state.